Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.212015 0.245275 0.282002 0.325562 0.375819 0.431992 0.499556
2025-10-19 0.161609 0.206721 0.261651 0.333448 0.424847 0.537375 0.686576
2025-10-26 0.132798 0.182157 0.246479 0.336425 0.459018 0.620416 0.849373
2025-11-02 0.111001 0.161207 0.230366 0.332561 0.479835 0.684629 0.991618
2025-11-09 0.092825 0.141661 0.212251 0.321677 0.487183 0.728503 1.107958
2025-11-16 0.083324 0.132925 0.207770 0.328865 0.520101 0.810992 1.288335
2025-11-23 0.074435 0.123656 0.200906 0.330876 0.544389 0.881961 1.457924
2025-11-30 0.067737 0.116830 0.196732 0.336121 0.573616 0.962759 1.651077
2025-12-07 0.059902 0.107019 0.186366 0.329565 0.582046 1.009830 1.792493
2025-12-14 0.053679 0.099140 0.178201 0.325527 0.593798 1.062908 1.948943
2025-12-21 0.049546 0.094432 0.174908 0.329491 0.619710 1.142586 2.160397
2025-12-28 0.047606 0.093491 0.178178 0.345610 0.669212 1.269014 2.470494
2026-01-04 0.044971 0.091001 0.178451 0.356406 0.710470 1.385611 2.777263
2026-01-11 0.042276 0.088080 0.177591 0.364930 0.748352 1.499937 3.092943
2026-01-18 0.039283 0.084178 0.174330 0.368188 0.775899 1.596619 3.383462
2026-01-25 0.035861 0.078963 0.167819 0.363960 0.787472 1.662179 3.616591
2026-02-01 0.032110 0.072594 0.158208 0.352053 0.781424 1.690588 3.773705
2026-02-08 0.030476 0.070672 0.157788 0.359917 0.818765 1.813894 4.149796
2026-02-15 0.028524 0.067800 0.154978 0.362117 0.843699 1.912731 4.481804
2026-02-22 0.027015 0.065770 0.153805 0.367855 0.877156 2.033509 4.876463
2026-03-01 0.024731 0.061639 0.147400 0.360683 0.879784 2.084700 5.113849
2026-03-08 0.022847 0.058262 0.142390 0.356265 0.888422 2.150495 5.393006
2026-03-15 0.021669 0.056500 0.141038 0.360602 0.918767 2.270484 5.817424